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An HR Algorithms Can Tell How Often You Will Change Jobs

Job-hopping algorithm: Assessing Job-Hopping Attitudes From Chat Interview Using HR Algorithms

We have no survivable and sustainable future without science, just as we do not have you without it. 

Since the start of the coronavirus epidemic, many companies have turned to advanced HR algorithms to find out who is the best candidate for open positions. Most often, HR algorithms utilize face-finding programs, games, quizzes, and software that examines visual or linguistic patterns to decide who gets an interview.

An Australian company called Sapia (Formerly PredictiveHire), founded in October 2013, appears to have gone much further. It has developed a machine-learning algorithm to assess the likelihood of frequent job changes for a given candidate. –  MIT Technology Review. 

According to Barbara Hyman, CEO of HR, their clients are employers who rely heavily on HR algorithms to sift through vast applications. These employers mainly operate in customer service, retail, sales, or healthcare sectors, among others. They consider the potential “how often change jobs” metric crucial when hiring.

In the first round, a chatbot decides on the applicants

When someone applies for a job through an HR company, they must first “convince” a chatbot, which is an embodiment of these advanced HR algorithms, of their worthiness. The HR algorithm poses open-ended questions and subsequently analyzes personality traits like initiative, intrinsic motivation, or resilience.

Importantly, this HR algorithm also gauges the frequency of how often the candidate might change jobs in the future, a metric highlighted as the “risk of escape” on the Sapia website. The primary aim of the HR company’s recent study was to refine their HR algorithm to predict this trait accurately. They assessed 45,899 candidates who previously responded to 5-7 open-ended questions about their experiences and situational awareness through the Sapia chatbot.

The chatbot, using insights from HR algorithms, probed for personality traits that Sapia’s research indicates might correlate with how often someone changes jobs. Traits like a heightened openness to new experiences or a perceived lack of practicality were among them.

Algorithms against wage increases

Nathan Newman, an associate professor at John Jay College of Criminal Justice in New York, who penned a 2017 study on data analysis’s potential pitfalls, highlighted the recent work by Sapia to MIT Technology Review.

This encompasses the increasingly favored personality tests rooted in machine learning. These HR algorithms aim to filter out potential workers more likely to support unionization or ask for wage hikes. MIT Technology Review noted that employers, armed with HR algorithms, are keenly monitoring employee communications, like emails or online chats. They harness this data to deduce if a colleague might be on the verge of quitting. This intel aids them in determining the bare minimum wage hike they could offer to retain said employee.

Uber’s management systems, driven by HR algorithms, reportedly strive to ensure employees remain disconnected from physical offices and digital forums. This strategy ensures they can’t unintentionally unite and collectively demand improved pay or conditions.


Sapia has found a relationship between the language people use and their attitudes towards job-hopping.

If a simple automated chat interview can infer a candidate’s likelihood of job-hopping, it presents significant opportunities, especially when assessing candidates with no prior work history.

This work shows that the language one uses when responding to interview questions related to situational judgment and past behaviour is predictive of their likelihood to job hop. This paper explores:

  • Research around self-initiated job hopping
  • Correlation between language and job-hopping likelihood
  • NLP methods that can be used to represent language

Find out how you can identify job-hopping attitudes before you hire.  To get your copy of the Research Paper click here.


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Also, have you seen the 2020 Candidate Experience Playbook? Download it here.


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Neuroinclusion by design. Not by exception.

Why neuroinclusion can’t be a retrofit and how Sapia.ai is building a better experience for every candidate.

In the past, if you were neurodivergent and applying for a job, you were often asked to disclose your diagnosis to get a basic accommodation – extra time on a test, maybe the option to skip a task. That disclosure often came with risk: of judgment, of stigma, or just being seen as different.

This wasn’t inclusion. It was bureaucracy. And it made neurodiverse candidates carry the burden of fitting in.

We’ve come a long way, but we’re not there yet.

Shifting from retrofits to inclusive-by-design

Over the last two decades, hiring practices have slowly moved away from reactive accommodations toward proactive, human-centric design. Leading employers began experimenting with:

  • Sharing interview questions in advance

  • Replacing group exercises with structured simulations

  • Offering a variety of assessment formats

  • Co-designing assessments with neurodiverse candidates

But even these advances have often been limited in scope, applied to special hiring programs or specific roles. Neurodiverse talent still encounters systems built for neurotypical profiles, with limited flexibility and a heavy dose of social performance pressure.

Hiring needs to look different.

Insight 1: The next frontier of hiring equity is universal design

Truly inclusive hiring doesn’t rely on diagnosis or disclosure. It doesn’t just give a select few special treatment. It’s about removing friction for everyone, especially those who’ve historically been excluded.

That’s why Sapia.ai was built with universal design principles from day one.

Here’s what that looks like in practice:

  • No time limits — Candidates answer at their own pace
  • No pressure to perform — It’s a conversation, not a spotlight
  • No video, no group tasks — Just structured, 1:1 chat-based interviews
  • Built-in coaching — Everyone gets personalised feedback

It’s not a workaround. It’s a rework.

Insight 2: Not all “friendly” methods are inclusive

We tend to assume that social or “casual” interview formats make people comfortable. But for many neurodiverse individuals, icebreakers, group exercises, and informal chats are the problem, not the solution.

When we asked 6,000 neurodiverse candidates about their experience using Sapia.ai’s chat-based interview, they told us:

“It felt very 1:1 and trustworthy… I had time to fully think about my answers.”

“It was less anxiety-inducing than video interviews.”

“I like that all applicants get initial interviews which ensures an unbiased and fair way to weigh-up candidates.”

Insight 3: Prediction ≠ Inclusion

Some AI systems claim to infer skills or fit from resumes or behavioural data. But if the training data is biased or the experience itself is exclusionary, you’re just replicating the same inequity with more speed and scale.

Inclusion means seeing people for who they are, not who they resemble in your data set.

At Sapia.ai, every interaction is transparent, explainable, and scientifically validated. We use structured, fair assessments that work for all brains, not just neurotypical ones.

Where to from here?

Neurodiversity is rising in both awareness and representation. However, inclusion won’t scale unless the systems behind hiring change as well.

That’s why we built a platform that:

  • Doesn’t rely on disclosure

  • Removes ambiguity and pressure

  • Creates space for everyone to shine

  • Measures what matters, fairly

Sapia.ai is already powering inclusive, structured, and scalable hiring for global employers like BT Group, Costa Coffee and Concentrix. Want to see how your hiring process can be more inclusive for neurodivergent individuals? Let’s chat. 

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Skills Measurement vs Skills Inference – What’s the Difference and Why Does It Matter?

There’s growing interest in AI-driven tools that infer skills from CVs, LinkedIn profiles, and other passive data sources. These systems claim to map someone’s capability based on the words they use, the jobs they’ve held, and patterns derived from millions of similar profiles. In theory, it’s efficient. But when inference becomes the primary basis for hiring or promotion, we need to scrutinise what’s actually being measured and what’s not.

Let’s be clear: the technology isn’t the problem. Modern inference engines use advanced natural language processing, embeddings, and knowledge graphs. The science behind them is genuinely impressive. And when they’re used alongside richer sources of data, such as internal project contributions, validated assessments, or behavioural evidence, they can offer valuable insight for workforce planning and development.

But we need to separate the two ideas:

  • Skills Measurement: Directly observing or quantifying a skill based on evidence of actual performance. 
  • Skills Inference: Estimating the likelihood that someone has a skill, based on indirect signals or patterns in their data. 

The risk lies in conflating the two.

The Problem Isn’t Inference of Skills. It’s the Data Feeding It

CVs and LinkedIn profiles are riddled with bias, inconsistency, and omission. They’re self-authored, unverified, and often written strategically – for example, to enhance certain experiences or downplay others in response to a job ad. 

And different groups represent themselves in different ways. Ahuja (2024) showed, for example, that male MBA graduates in India tend to self-promote more than their female peers. Something as simple as a longer LinkedIn ‘About’ section becomes a proxy for perceived competence.

Job titles are vague. Skill descriptions vary. Proficiency is rarely signposted. Even where systems draw on internal performance data, the quality is often questionable. Ratings tend to cluster (remember the year everyone got a ‘3’ at your org?) and can often reflect manager bias or company culture more than actual output.

Sophisticated ≠ Objective

The most advanced skill inference platforms use layered data: open web sources like job ads and bios, public databases like O*NET and ESCO, internal frameworks, even anonymised behavioural signals from platform users. This breadth gives a more complete picture, and the models powering it are undeniably sophisticated.

But sophistication doesn’t equal accuracy.

These systems rely heavily on proxies and correlations, rather than observed behaviour. They estimate presence, not proficiency. And when used in high-stakes decisions, that distinction matters.

Transparency (or Lack Thereof)

In many inference systems, it’s hard to trace where a skill came from. Was it picked up from a keyword? Assumed from a job title? Correlated with others in similar roles? The logic is rarely visible, and that’s a problem, especially when decisions based on these inferences affect access to jobs, development, or promotion.

Presence ≠ Proficiency

Inferred skills suggest someone might have a capability. But hiring isn’t about possibility. It’s about evidence of capability. Saying you’ve led a team isn’t the same as doing it well. Collecting or observing actual examples of behaviour allows you to evaluate someone’s true competence at a claimed skill. 

Some platforms try to infer proficiency, too, but this is still inference, not measurement. No matter how smart the model, it’s still drawing conclusions from indirect data.

By contrast, validated assessments like structured interviews, simulations, and psychometric tools are designed to measure. They observe behaviour against defined criteria, use consistent scoring frameworks (like Behaviourally Anchored Rating Scales, or BARS), and provide a transparent, defensible basis for decision-making. In doing this, the level or proficiency of a skill can be placed on a properly calibrated scale. 

But here’s the thing: we don’t have to choose one over the other.

A Smarter Way Forward: The Hybrid Model

The real opportunity lies in combining the rigour of measurement with the scalability of inference.

Start with measurement
Define the skills that matter. Use structured tools to capture behavioural evidence. Set a clear standard for what good looks like. For example, define Behaviourally Anchored Rating Scales (BARS) when assessing interviews for skills. Using a framework like Sapia.ai’s Competency Framework is critical for defining what you want to measure. 

Layer in inference
Apply AI to scale scoring, add contextual nuance, and detect deeper patterns that human assessors might miss, especially when reviewing large volumes of data.

Anchor the whole system in transparency and validation
Ensure people understand how inferences are made by providing clear explanations. Continuously test for fairness. Keep human oversight in the loop, especially where the stakes are high. More information on ensuring AI systems are transparent can be found in this paper.

This hybrid model respects the strengths and limits of both approaches. It recognises that AI can’t replace human judgement, but it can enhance it. That inference can extend reach, but only measurement can give you higher confidence in the results.

The Bottom Line

Inference can support and guide, but only measurement can prove. And when people’s futures are on the line, proof should always win.

References

Ahuja, A. (2024). LinkedIn profile analysis reveals gender-based differences in self-presentation among Indian MBA graduates. Journal of Business and Psychology.

 

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Making Healthcare Hiring Human with Ethical AI

Hiring for care is unlike any other sector. Recruiters are looking for people who can bring empathy, resilience, and energy to the most demanding human roles. Whether it’s dental care, mental health, or aged care, new hires are charged with looking after others when they’re most vulnerable. The stakes are high. 

Hiring for care is exactly where leveraging ethical AI can make the biggest impact.

Hiring for the traits that matter

The best carers don’t always have the best CVs.

That’s why our chat-based AI interview doesn’t screen for qualifications. It screens for the the skills that matter when caring for others. The traits that define a brilliant care worker, things like:

Empathy, Self-awareness, Accountability, Teamwork, and Energy. 

The best way to uncover these traits is through structured behavioural science, delivered through an experience that allows candidates to open up. Giving candidates space to give real-life, open-text answers. With no time pressure or video stress. Then, our AI picks up the signals that matter, free from any demographic data or bias-inducing signals.

Candidates’ answers to our structured interview questions aren’t simply ticking boxes. They’re a window into how someone shows up under pressure. And they’re helping leading care organisations hire people who belong in care and those who stay.

Inclusion, built in

Inclusivity should be a core foundation of any talent assessment, and it’s a fundamental requirement for hirers in the care industry. 

When healthcare hirers use chat-based AI interviews, designed to be inclusive for all groups, candidates complete their interviews when and where they choose, without the bias traps of face-to-face or phone screening. There are no accents to judge, no assumptions, just their words and their story.

And it works:

  • 91.8% of carer candidates complete their interviews
  • Carer candidates report 9/10 Candidate Satisfaction with their interview experience 
  • 80% of candidates would recommend others to apply 
  • Every candidate receives personalised feedback, regardless of the outcome

Drop-offs are reduced, and engagement & employer brand advocacy go up. Building a brand that candidates want to work for includes providing a hiring experience that candidates want to complete. 

Real outcomes in care hiring

Our smart chat already works for some of the most respected names in healthcare and community services. Here’s a sample of the outcomes that are possible by leveraging ethical AI, a validated scientific assessment, wrapped in an experience that candidates love: 

Anglicare – a leading provider of aged care services
  • Time-to-offer dropped from 40+ days to just 14
  • Candidate pool grew by 30%
  • Turnover dropped by 63%
Abano Healthcare – Australasia’s largest dental support organisation
  • 1,213 recruiter hours saved  in the first month (67 hours per individual hiring team member) 
  • $25,000 saved in screening and interviewing time
Berry Street – a not for profit family & child services organisation
  • Time-to-hire down from 22 to 7 days
  • 95.4% of candidates completed their chat interviews

A smarter way to hire

The case study tells the full story of how Sapia.ai helped Anglicare, Abano Healthcare, and Berry Street transform their hiring processes by scaling up, reducing burnout, and hiring with heart. 

Download it here:

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